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Bank of Canada Cuts Interest Rate Again

September 19, 2025

Discover how the Bank of Canada's rate cut affects Alberta home buyers. Learn the pros and cons of fixed vs. variable mortgages and plan your strategy.
Josh and Jay discuss the September Bank of Canada Rate Cut on YouTube

By Josh Tagg, mortgage broker · Mortgages for Less with INDI Mortgage · Calgary, serving all of Alberta ·

On September 17, I joined Jay Lewis to discuss the Bank of Canada’s latest announcement — one that could have an impact on home buyers here in Alberta. For the first time since March, the Bank of Canada cut its interest rate by a quarter percent, and it has left the door open for another cut later this year.

Quick answer: On September 17, 2025, the Bank of Canada cut its interest rate by a quarter percent, its first cut since March. It pointed to a soft labour market (unemployment at 7.1%), inflation easing to 1.9% in August, and Ottawa lifting retaliatory tariffs. At the time, 5-year fixed rates were around 3.99% to 4.25% and variable about 4%, and Josh’s view was that fixed made more sense for most buyers.
0.25%
Rate cut, Sept 17
7.1%
National unemployment
1.9%
Inflation in August
-1.5%
GDP, second quarter

Why did the Bank of Canada cut its rate?

A couple at a kitchen table review printed mortgage papers, with a laptop showing a falling line chart beside them.
A quarter-point cut moves prime, and variable-rate payments with it. Fixed rates follow bond yields instead.

As I explained during the interview, Governor Tiff Macklem cited three main reasons behind the decision:

  • A soft labour market. “Unemployment is now at 7.1% nationally, the highest since August 2021,” I noted. “It’s especially impacting Ontario’s auto industry, but here in Alberta we’re feeling it too.”

  • Encouraging inflation numbers. Inflation has eased to 1.9% in August, down from earlier this year. “Core CPI is still just above 3%, but recent trends are encouraging,” I said.

  • The removal of retaliatory tariffs. Ottawa’s decision to lift tariffs on many imported U.S. goods has helped ease inflationary pressure.

GDP also fell by 1.5% in the second quarter. “If we see another quarter of negative GDP, that’s officially a recession,” I explained. “That would give the Bank of Canada even more reason to cut rates again, provided inflation stays under control.”

Should buyers choose a fixed or variable mortgage?

Jay asked me the question many buyers are wondering: Should you choose a variable or fixed mortgage today?

“Right now, a five-year fixed mortgage is available around 3.99% to 4.25%,” I explained. “Variable is about the same, at 4%. The Bank is likely to cut rates again in December, but if you look at the next five years, you’ll probably end up paying more with a variable than with a fixed.”

Fixed vs variable, September 2025
5-year fixedVariable
Rate quotedAbout 3.99% to 4.25%About 4%
OutlookLocked for the termLikely to drop if the Bank cuts again in December
Josh’s viewMakes more sense for most buyersOnly if you’re confident rates fall quickly, or you’re selling within a year

In my view, fixed rates make more sense for most buyers today — unless you’re confident that rates will continue to fall quickly or you’re planning to sell your home within a year.

What does the rate cut mean for Alberta buyers?

Lower rates can improve affordability and help with qualifying for a mortgage, but the decision between fixed and variable remains critical. My advice: run the numbers carefully and make sure your mortgage strategy fits your long-term plans.

Where can you watch the full interview?

You can watch my full conversation with Jay Lewis on YouTube here: Watch the video

If you find the video helpful, don’t forget to like, subscribe, and leave a comment. We’d love to hear what topics you’d like us to cover in the future. And don’t be afraid to reach out to me directly with your personal circumstances and home ownership goals.

How an Alberta mortgage broker helps after a rate cut

A rate announcement changes the numbers. A broker turns them into a decision:

  • Run fixed and variable side by side over your full term, not just today’s rate.
  • Show how a lower rate changes what you can qualify for.
  • Match the term to your plans, including if you might sell within a year.
  • Shop multiple lenders, including when your bank has said no.

Buying in Alberta this year?

Get your real numbers on fixed and variable before you commit.

Apply Online → Book a Discovery Call → Serving Calgary, Edmonton & all of Alberta · Mortgages for Less with INDI Mortgage

Questions about the September 2025 rate cut

Why did the Bank of Canada cut rates in September 2025?
Governor Tiff Macklem cited three reasons: a soft labour market with national unemployment at 7.1%, inflation easing to 1.9% in August, and Ottawa lifting retaliatory tariffs on many imported U.S. goods, which eased inflationary pressure.
How much did the Bank of Canada cut its rate?
A quarter percent, on September 17, 2025. It was the first cut since March, and the Bank left the door open for another cut later in the year.
What were fixed and variable mortgage rates after the cut?
At the time of the interview, a five-year fixed mortgage was available around 3.99% to 4.25%, and variable was about the same, at 4%.
Should I choose a fixed or variable mortgage?
In Josh’s view at the time, fixed rates made more sense for most buyers. Over the next five years you would probably pay more with a variable than with a fixed, unless you are confident rates will keep falling quickly or you plan to sell your home within a year.
Was Canada heading into a recession?
GDP fell by 1.5% in the second quarter. Another quarter of negative GDP would officially be a recession, which would give the Bank of Canada more reason to cut again, provided inflation stays under control.
How do lower rates help Alberta home buyers?
Lower rates can improve affordability and help with qualifying for a mortgage. The choice between fixed and variable still matters, so run the numbers carefully and make sure your mortgage fits your long-term plans.

This article was written in September 2025, right after the Bank of Canada’s September 17 decision. Rates and forecasts quoted are from that time and have since changed. It is general information for Alberta home buyers, not financial, mortgage, tax or legal advice. Rates, products and qualification rules vary by lender. Please speak with a licensed mortgage professional about your specific circumstances. Mortgages for Less with INDI Mortgage.

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