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Calgary Housing Market Update (January 2021): Is the Market Finally Turning?

February 4, 2021

Calgary's benchmark home price was $422,900 in January 2021, up 1.8% year-over-year, as sales jumped 40% and inventory fell 22%. Full stats and what they meant for buyers.
Calgary skyline with January 2021 Calgary real estate market statistics cover
Monthly Market Report · January 2021

Sales up 40% on the year, inventory down 22%, and the first real sign that Calgary’s long flat stretch was ending — though condo owners would have to wait longer.

Quick answer

In January 2021, Calgary’s benchmark home price was $422,900 — up 0.4% from December and 1.8% from a year earlier. 1,207 homes sold, 40.5% more than last January, while inventory fell 21.8% to 4,038 homes. That left 3.3 months of supply, a balanced market, with a typical home selling in 57 days. Detached homes were tightening fastest at 2.3 months of supply; apartment condos, at 7.1 months and a benchmark of $245,200, were still firmly a buyer’s market.

January 2021 at a glance

Benchmark price
$422,900
▲ +1.8% vs last year
Sales
1,207
▲ +40.5% vs last year
Inventory
4,038
▼ -21.8% vs last year
Days on market
57
▼ -10 days vs last year
Months of supply
3.3
balanced market inventory ÷ sales

January is always Calgary’s quietest month, so the headline of 1,207 sales isn’t the interesting part. The interesting part is that it was 40.5% more than January 2020, and that it happened while inventory fell 21.8% to 4,038 homes. After years in which Calgary had plenty of listings and not enough buyers, both halves of that equation moved at once. The benchmark price finished the month at $422,900 — barely changed from December, but up 1.8% on the year, the sort of small positive number the city hadn’t reliably seen since the oil downturn.

Calgary prices over time

Calgary benchmark price, 2014–2021
The price of a typical Calgary home, month by month. Hover any point to read the exact value.
Source: CREB benchmark (HPI), all residential, City of Calgary.
Year-end benchmark price (December), with the change from the year before.
YearBenchmark priceChange on the year
2014$459,500
2015$448,800▼ -2.3%
2016$434,100▼ -3.3%
2017$433,200▼ -0.2%
2018$424,600▼ -2%
2019$415,900▼ -2%
2020$421,300▲ +1.3%
2021 (to January)$422,900▲ +0.4%

Sales, listings and inventory

Sales vs. inventory — last 24 months
How many homes sold each month (left axis) against how many were for sale (right axis). The gap between the two is what decides whether buyers or sellers hold the leverage.
Source: CREB monthly statistics, City of Calgary.
MonthSalesNew listingsInventoryDays on marketBenchmark
February 20201,1902,5175,67356$414,900
March 20201,1742,4185,86352$414,500
April 20205711,4255,64555$412,300
May 20201,0782,4195,96960$411,200
June 20201,7633,3366,43355$410,900
July 20201,8353,0216,62153$418,000
August 20201,5742,5776,49552$419,800
September 20201,7062,7366,24854$421,700
October 20201,7632,4605,81853$422,600
November 20201,4371,7275,02055$423,300
December 20201,1991,1723,67259$421,300
January 20211,2072,2504,03857$422,900

The headline numbers

MetricJanuary 2021vs prev monthvs last year
Benchmark price$422,900▲ +0.4%▲ +1.8%
Sales1,207▲ +0.7%▲ +40.5%
New listings2,250▲ +92%▼ -4.5%
Inventory4,038▲ +10%▼ -21.8%
Days on market57▼ -2 days▼ -10 days

A look by property type

Property typeBenchmarkvs last yearSalesDays on mktMonths of supply
Detached$492,000▲ +2.9%733532.3
Semi-detached$391,700▲ +1.5%140592.5
Row / townhouse$279,900▲ +0.1%150674.6
Apartment condo$245,200▼ -0.4%184657.1

A quiet month with a loud signal

Nothing about January’s raw numbers looks dramatic. A typical home still took 57 days to sell, and 3.3 months of supply is a textbook balanced market — neither side holding much leverage. But 57 days was ten days faster than January 2020, and the supply figure had come down from well above four months a year earlier.

That is what a market turning looks like from the inside: not a spike, but every indicator leaning the same direction at once. More buyers, fewer listings, faster sales, and prices that stopped drifting down.

The split that defined the whole year

Averages hid two very different markets, and the gap was enormous. Detached homes had a $492,000 benchmark, up 2.9% year-over-year, selling in 53 days at 2.3 months of supply — tightening, and clearly where the demand was going.

Apartment condos were the opposite. At $245,200 the benchmark was actually down 0.4% from a year earlier, they took 65 days to sell, and there were 7.1 months of supply sitting on the market. That is a deep buyer’s market. Row homes at $279,900 (up 0.1%, 4.6 months of supply) weren’t much better. If you owned a Calgary condo in early 2021, the recovery had not reached you.

Why buyers were moving

Borrowing costs were near record lows, which does two things at once: it lowers the monthly payment on any given price, and it raises the amount a given income can qualify for. A year of working from home had also changed what people wanted — more space, a dedicated room to work in, a yard — which pushed demand toward detached houses and away from small condos. The by-type numbers show exactly that preference playing out.

Calgary also started from a low base. Prices here had gone sideways or down for years while other Canadian cities climbed, so the city looked inexpensive to anyone comparing from outside.

What this meant if you were buying

January 2021 was, in hindsight, one of the last genuinely unhurried months Calgary would have for some time. At 57 days on market there was room to view a home twice, get an inspection, and keep a financing condition without losing the property.

The practical move was to get a real pre-approval rather than an online estimate — one where a lender has actually looked at your income documents. In a market that was tightening month over month, knowing your true budget was worth more than knowing the average price.

Where prices sit is only half of affordability — your mortgage rate is the other half. It’s worth getting a current rate and a pre-approval before you shop, so you know your real budget.

Frequently asked questions

What was the average house price in Calgary in January 2021?
The CREB benchmark price — a typical home across all types — was $422,900. The average sale price was higher at $472,020 and the median was $419,000. Benchmark is the most reliable of the three because it isn’t skewed by a handful of high-end sales.
Was January 2021 a buyer’s or seller’s market in Calgary?
Balanced overall, at 3.3 months of supply, but it depended entirely on property type. Detached homes at 2.3 months of supply were tilting toward sellers, while apartment condos at 7.1 months of supply and 65 days on market were a clear buyer’s market.
Why were Calgary home sales up 40% from last January?
Low borrowing costs, a shift in what buyers wanted after a year of working from home, and prices that had stayed flat for years while other Canadian cities rose. Demand picked up while inventory fell 21.8%, which is the combination that starts moving prices.

Thinking about buying in Calgary?

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Source: CREB, January 2021 (City of Calgary geography). Prices shown are benchmark (HPI) values. Month-over-month compares to the prior month; year-over-year to the same month last year. The board may revise past months as late sales are recorded. Prepared by Mortgages for Less.

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