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Calgary Housing Market Update (June 2022): Are Home Prices Starting to Fall?

July 4, 2022

Calgary's benchmark price slipped 0.4% in June 2022 to $543,900 — its first decline in over a year — as sales fell below last June's level. Full stats and analysis.
Calgary skyline with June 2022 Calgary real estate market statistics cover
Monthly Market Report · June 2022

The first monthly price decline since the boom began, sales now below last year, and a market absorbing the fastest rate increases in a generation.

Quick answer

In June 2022, Calgary’s benchmark home price was $543,900 — down 0.4% from May, the first monthly decline in over a year, though still 18.8% above June 2021. Sales fell 7.3% to 2,839, now 2.6% below last June and the first year-over-year decline of the cycle. Inventory rose to 5,404 homes, taking supply to 1.9 months. A typical home sold in 27 days. Apartment condos, at $277,400 and up 9.6%, continued to outperform.

June 2022 at a glance

Benchmark price
$543,900
▲ +18.8% vs last year
Sales
2,839
▼ -2.6% vs last year
Inventory
5,404
▼ -21.9% vs last year
Days on market
27
▼ -7 days vs last year
Months of supply
1.9
strong seller’s market inventory ÷ sales

June delivered Calgary’s first monthly price decline since the run began: the benchmark eased 0.4% to $543,900. It also produced the first year-over-year drop in sales, down 2.6% to 2,839. Neither figure is large, and at 18.8% annual price growth the market was still far ahead of where it started. But the sequence had now completed — volume turned first, then days on market, and now price. Inventory reached 5,404 homes and supply hit 1.9 months, the loosest since November.

Calgary prices over time

Calgary benchmark price, 2014–2022
The price of a typical Calgary home, month by month. Hover any point to read the exact value.
Source: CREB benchmark (HPI), all residential, City of Calgary.
Year-end benchmark price (December), with the change from the year before.
YearBenchmark priceChange on the year
2014$459,500
2015$448,800▼ -2.3%
2016$434,100▼ -3.3%
2017$433,200▼ -0.2%
2018$424,600▼ -2%
2019$415,900▼ -2%
2020$421,300▲ +1.3%
2021$463,900▲ +10.1%
2022 (to June)$543,900▲ +17.2%

Sales, listings and inventory

Sales vs. inventory — last 24 months
How many homes sold each month (left axis) against how many were for sale (right axis). The gap between the two is what decides whether buyers or sellers hold the leverage.
Source: CREB monthly statistics, City of Calgary.
MonthSalesNew listingsInventoryDays on marketBenchmark
July 20212,3143,2986,68240$459,700
August 20212,1462,8236,06542$459,200
September 20212,1562,9065,61944$457,900
October 20212,1842,5014,87543$460,100
November 20212,1081,9993,93247$461,000
December 20211,7371,2302,60847$463,900
January 20222,0042,4742,62744$495,300
February 20223,2934,6513,60725$522,900
March 20224,0915,4924,38920$537,400
April 20223,3994,5854,87422$544,300
May 20223,0634,2975,21425$546,000
June 20222,8394,0555,40427$543,900

The headline numbers

MetricJune 2022vs prev monthvs last year
Benchmark price$543,900▼ -0.4%▲ +18.8%
Sales2,839▼ -7.3%▼ -2.6%
New listings4,055▼ -5.6%▼ -1.9%
Inventory5,404▲ +3.6%▼ -21.9%
Days on market27▲ +2 days▼ -7 days

A look by property type

Property typeBenchmarkvs last yearSalesDays on mktMonths of supply
Detached$647,500▲ +20.5%1,483241.8
Semi-detached$581,600▲ +36.2%223251.9
Row / townhouse$363,700▲ +21.5%555271.4
Apartment condo$277,400▲ +9.6%578342.6
A note on the semi-detached figures: the semi-detached benchmark steps up sharply between December 2021 and January 2022 — a far larger jump than any other property type recorded — which points to a change in the underlying data series rather than a genuine one-month move in value. We’ve left the published figures as they are, but semi-detached year-over-year comparisons through 2022 should be read with caution. The detached, row and apartment condo series are unaffected.

The turn was now unambiguous

Through the spring it was possible to read the slowdown as seasonal noise. By June it wasn’t. Sales were below the prior year, prices had declined on the month, inventory had risen for four consecutive months, and days on market had lengthened from 20 in March to 27.

Every one of those indicators pointed the same way, which is the same test that identified the market turning upward back in early 2021 — just in reverse.

Why rates moved the market so quickly

The Bank of Canada’s increases through the first half of 2022 were unusually rapid by historical standards, and mortgage rates followed. Because buyers must qualify at a stress-tested rate above the contract rate, each increase cuts the maximum mortgage available by considerably more than the payment change alone suggests.

The practical effect is that the buyer pool at any given price thins out quickly. A household approved for a certain purchase price in January might have qualified for meaningfully less by June, without their income having changed at all.

Condos kept defying the trend

Apartment condos rose 9.6% year-over-year to $277,400 — their strongest growth of the cycle — while detached homes decelerated to 20.5%. Condo supply sat at 2.6 months against 1.8 for detached.

That inversion tells you where the affordability pressure was landing. Buyers weren’t leaving the market; they were buying smaller. The segment Calgary had written off through 2021 became its most resilient as rates rose.

What this meant if you were buying

A declining market changes what a buyer should optimise for. Speed matters less; terms matter more. At 27 days on market with inventory rising, there was room to keep an inspection condition and a financing condition without automatically losing the property.

It also changes what to worry about. In a rising market the risk is overpaying. In a falling one with rising rates, the bigger risk is buying at the limit of what you qualify for — because if your circumstances change, or rates are higher at renewal, the margin you left yourself is what carries you through. Borrowing less than the maximum was a reasonable decision in mid-2022.

Where prices sit is only half of affordability — your mortgage rate is the other half. It’s worth getting a current rate and a pre-approval before you shop, so you know your real budget.

Frequently asked questions

Did Calgary house prices start falling in 2022?
Yes, from June. The benchmark eased 0.4% to $543,900, the first monthly decline of the cycle, after peaking at $546,000 in May. Prices remained 18.8% above June 2021 at that point, so the decline started from a high base.
Why did rising rates slow Calgary’s market so fast?
Buyers must qualify at a stress-tested rate above the rate they actually pay, so each increase reduces the maximum mortgage available by more than the payment change implies. The pool of buyers able to compete at any given price shrank quickly through the first half of 2022.
Should I borrow the maximum I qualify for?
Usually not, and especially not when rates are rising. The amount you qualify for is a ceiling, not a target. Leaving room between your approved maximum and your actual purchase gives you margin if your circumstances change or if rates are higher when your term comes up for renewal.

Buying as the market turns?

There’s a difference between what you qualify for and what you should borrow. Let’s talk through both.

Try our mortgage calculator →

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Source: CREB, June 2022 (City of Calgary geography). Prices shown are benchmark (HPI) values. Month-over-month compares to the prior month; year-over-year to the same month last year. The board may revise past months as late sales are recorded. Prepared by Mortgages for Less.

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