Apply Online

Calgary Housing Market Update (July 2022): How Far Will Prices Fall?

August 4, 2022

Calgary's benchmark price fell to $539,900 in July 2022 as sales dropped 21%, but inventory fell too — keeping supply at just 2.4 months. Full stats and analysis.
Calgary skyline with July 2022 Calgary real estate market statistics cover
Monthly Market Report · July 2022

Sales down a fifth and prices easing for a second month — but with listings vanishing just as fast, this was never going to be a crash.

Quick answer

In July 2022, Calgary’s benchmark home price was $539,900 — down 0.7% from June but still 17.4% above a year earlier. Sales fell 20.8% on the month to 2,249, now 2.8% below last July. Critically, new listings fell 21.6% as well, so inventory held at 5,343 homes, 20% below last July, and supply stayed at just 2.4 months. A typical home sold in 31 days. Apartment condos, at $278,800 and up 9.7% year-over-year, kept rising while everything else eased.

July 2022 at a glance

Benchmark price
$539,900
▲ +17.4% vs last year
Sales
2,249
▼ -2.8% vs last year
Inventory
5,343
▼ -20% vs last year
Days on market
31
▼ -9 days vs last year
Months of supply
2.4
seller’s market inventory ÷ sales

Calgary’s correction continued in July, and the shape of it was already clear. The benchmark fell 0.7% to $539,900 and sales dropped 20.8% to 2,249. But new listings fell 21.6% — almost exactly in step — so inventory barely moved and stayed 20% below last July. Supply sat at 2.4 months, which is still a seller’s market. That single fact explains why Calgary’s 2022 downturn looked nothing like the sharper declines happening in Toronto and Vancouver at the same time.

Calgary prices over time

Calgary benchmark price, 2014–2022
The price of a typical Calgary home, month by month. Hover any point to read the exact value.
Source: CREB benchmark (HPI), all residential, City of Calgary.
Year-end benchmark price (December), with the change from the year before.
YearBenchmark priceChange on the year
2014$459,500
2015$448,800▼ -2.3%
2016$434,100▼ -3.3%
2017$433,200▼ -0.2%
2018$424,600▼ -2%
2019$415,900▼ -2%
2020$421,300▲ +1.3%
2021$463,900▲ +10.1%
2022 (to July)$539,900▲ +16.4%

Sales, listings and inventory

Sales vs. inventory — last 24 months
How many homes sold each month (left axis) against how many were for sale (right axis). The gap between the two is what decides whether buyers or sellers hold the leverage.
Source: CREB monthly statistics, City of Calgary.
MonthSalesNew listingsInventoryDays on marketBenchmark
August 20212,1462,8236,06542$459,200
September 20212,1562,9065,61944$457,900
October 20212,1842,5014,87543$460,100
November 20212,1081,9993,93247$461,000
December 20211,7371,2302,60847$463,900
January 20222,0042,4742,62744$495,300
February 20223,2934,6513,60725$522,900
March 20224,0915,4924,38920$537,400
April 20223,3994,5854,87422$544,300
May 20223,0634,2975,21425$546,000
June 20222,8394,0555,40427$543,900
July 20222,2493,1785,34331$539,900

The headline numbers

MetricJuly 2022vs prev monthvs last year
Benchmark price$539,900▼ -0.7%▲ +17.4%
Sales2,249▼ -20.8%▼ -2.8%
New listings3,178▼ -21.6%▼ -3.6%
Inventory5,343▼ -1.1%▼ -20%
Days on market31▲ +4 days▼ -9 days

A look by property type

Property typeBenchmarkvs last yearSalesDays on mktMonths of supply
Detached$643,600▲ +19.2%1,131292.3
Semi-detached$577,000▲ +34.7%173292.5
Row / townhouse$362,500▲ +21%432301.7
Apartment condo$278,800▲ +9.7%513373.1
A note on the semi-detached figures: the semi-detached benchmark steps up sharply between December 2021 and January 2022 — a far larger jump than any other property type recorded — which points to a change in the underlying data series rather than a genuine one-month move in value. We’ve left the published figures as they are, but semi-detached year-over-year comparisons through 2022 should be read with caution. The detached, row and apartment condo series are unaffected.

Why Calgary’s correction stayed shallow

A steep price decline needs two things: buyers stepping back, and sellers being forced to accept less. Calgary had the first but not the second. Homeowners weren’t under pressure to sell — employment was solid, and anyone holding a mortgage from 2020 or 2021 had a rate they had no desire to give up.

So as demand fell, supply fell with it. Inventory at 5,343 homes was lower than the same month a year earlier, in the middle of a downturn. Markets don’t fall far when there is nothing to buy.

Where the pain was concentrated

The decline was not evenly spread. Detached homes had come down from a $648,500 peak in May to $643,600 — off about $4,900 in two months. Row homes eased from $363,700 to $362,500.

Apartment condos went the other way entirely, rising to $278,800 and up 9.7% year-over-year. With rates climbing, buyers who could no longer qualify for a house were still able to qualify for a condo, and that demand kept the bottom of the market firm while the top softened.

Days on market told the real story

At 31 days, homes were selling eleven days slower than in March — the clearest measure of how much leverage had shifted. Still fast in absolute terms, and nine days quicker than July 2021, but the trend was consistent.

For buyers, this was the practical improvement. Not lower prices — those had barely moved — but time. Time to view twice, time to get an inspection, time to keep a financing condition in the offer.

What this meant if you were buying

The question everyone asked that summer was how far prices would fall. The honest answer was that with supply this tight, probably not far — and Calgary’s subsequent recovery bore that out. Waiting for a substantial discount meant waiting through further rate increases, which would erode your buying power faster than prices were falling.

The more useful exercise was to compare specific scenarios: what your payment and qualifying amount look like today, against what they’d look like if prices fell 5% but rates rose another point. For most buyers in mid-2022, that comparison did not favour waiting.

Where prices sit is only half of affordability — your mortgage rate is the other half. It’s worth getting a current rate and a pre-approval before you shop, so you know your real budget.

Frequently asked questions

Why didn’t Calgary house prices crash in 2022?
Because supply fell as fast as demand. Sales dropped 20.8% in July, but new listings fell 21.6% and inventory stayed 20% below the previous year at 5,343 homes. Supply held at 2.4 months — still a seller’s market — so there was no pressure forcing sellers to accept much less.
Were any Calgary property types still rising in mid-2022?
Yes. Apartment condos reached $278,800 in July, up 9.7% year-over-year, while detached homes eased from their May peak. As rates rose and buyers qualified for less, demand shifted toward more affordable property types.
Was it better to wait for Calgary prices to fall further?
For most buyers, no. Prices were easing by well under 1% a month while rates were rising quickly, and higher rates cut buying power faster than the price declines restored it. Running both scenarios on your own numbers is the only way to be sure.

Wondering whether to buy now or wait?

Falling prices and rising rates pull in opposite directions. Let’s run the numbers on your actual file and see which wins.

Try our mortgage calculator →

Ready to start? Apply online in minutes

Source: CREB, July 2022 (City of Calgary geography). Prices shown are benchmark (HPI) values. Month-over-month compares to the prior month; year-over-year to the same month last year. The board may revise past months as late sales are recorded. Prepared by Mortgages for Less.

Did you find that useful? Check out this related information!